@misc{diebold2019probability,
  title={Probability Assessments of an Ice-Free Arctic: Comparing Statistical and Climate Model Projections},
  author={Francis X. Diebold and Glenn D. Rudebusch},
  year={2019},
  eprint={1912.10774},
  archivePrefix={arXiv},
  primaryClass={stat.AP},
  url={https://arxiv.org/abs/1912.10774}
}