# Stock mechanics: predicting recession in S&P500, DJIA, and NASDAQ

**Authors:** Caglar Tuncay  
**arXiv:** [physics/0506098](https://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0506098)  
**Date:** 2005-06-10  
**Summary page:** https://www.summarizepaper.com/fr/paper/physics--0506098v1/

## Abstract

An original method, assuming potential and kinetic energy for prices and conservation of their sum is developed for forecasting exchanges. Connections with power law are shown. Semiempirical applications on S&P500, DJIA, and NASDAQ predict a coming recession in them. An emerging market, Istanbul Stock Exchange index ISE-100 is found involving a potential to continue to rise.