Training on Test Data with Bayesian Adaptation for Covariate Shift

Authors: Aurick Zhou, Sergey Levine

License: CC BY 4.0

Results of the summarizing process for the arXiv paper: 2109.12746v1

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, , , , In the field of deep neural networks, one common challenge is dealing with distribution shifts at test time. This often leads to inaccurate predictions and unreliable uncertainty estimates. While improving the robustness of neural networks is a potential solution, an alternative approach is to directly adapt them to unlabeled inputs from the specific distribution shift encountered at test time. However, this raises a difficult question: in the standard Bayesian model for supervised learning, unlabeled inputs are conditionally independent of model parameters when labels are unobserved. Therefore, it is unclear what information unlabeled data can provide about the model parameters at test time. To address this question, this paper introduces a Bayesian model that establishes a well-defined relationship between unlabeled inputs under distributional shift and model parameters. The authors propose an approximate inference method based on regularized entropy minimization to instantiate this model at test time. They evaluate their method on various distribution shifts for image classification tasks, including image corruptions, natural distribution shifts, and domain adaptation settings. The results demonstrate that their approach not only improves accuracy but also enhances uncertainty estimation. This is crucial because reliable uncertainty estimates allow for quantifying risks when making predictions. Prior works have proposed heuristic methods for test-time adaptation but have not considered uncertainty estimation or risk quantification. By taking a Bayesian approach and explicitly formulating a Bayesian model, this paper provides valuable insights into how unlabeled test data under covariate shift can inform optimal classifiers. Overall, this research contributes to addressing the challenges posed by distribution shifts in deep neural networks by developing a principled framework for adapting models using unlabeled data during testing. The proposed method shows promising results in improving both predictive accuracy and uncertainty estimation under different types of distribution shifts in image classification tasks.
AI-generated keywords: Deep Neural Networks

AI-generated Key Points

  • Distribution shifts at test time are a common challenge in deep neural networks
  • Dealing with distribution shifts leads to inaccurate predictions and unreliable uncertainty estimates
  • Adapting neural networks to unlabeled inputs from specific distribution shifts is an alternative approach
  • The relationship between unlabeled inputs and model parameters is unclear in the standard Bayesian model for supervised learning
  • This paper introduces a Bayesian model that establishes a relationship between unlabeled inputs and model parameters under distributional shift
  • An approximate inference method based on regularized entropy minimization is proposed to instantiate this model at test time
  • The method is evaluated on various distribution shifts for image classification tasks, including image corruptions, natural distribution shifts, and domain adaptation settings
  • Results show improved accuracy and enhanced uncertainty estimation compared to prior heuristic methods
  • Reliable uncertainty estimates allow for quantifying risks when making predictions
  • The research provides insights into how unlabeled test data can inform optimal classifiers under covariate shift
  • The proposed method offers a principled framework for adapting models using unlabeled data during testing
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Abstract: When faced with distribution shift at test time, deep neural networks often make inaccurate predictions with unreliable uncertainty estimates. While improving the robustness of neural networks is one promising approach to mitigate this issue, an appealing alternate to robustifying networks against all possible test-time shifts is to instead directly adapt them to unlabeled inputs from the particular distribution shift we encounter at test time. However, this poses a challenging question: in the standard Bayesian model for supervised learning, unlabeled inputs are conditionally independent of model parameters when the labels are unobserved, so what can unlabeled data tell us about the model parameters at test-time? In this paper, we derive a Bayesian model that provides for a well-defined relationship between unlabeled inputs under distributional shift and model parameters, and show how approximate inference in this model can be instantiated with a simple regularized entropy minimization procedure at test-time. We evaluate our method on a variety of distribution shifts for image classification, including image corruptions, natural distribution shifts, and domain adaptation settings, and show that our method improves both accuracy and uncertainty estimation.

Submitted to arXiv on 27 Sep. 2021

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