Open-data based carbon emission intensity signals for electricity generation in European countries -- top down vs. bottom up approach
Authors: Jan Frederick Unnewehr, Anke Weidlich, Leonhard Gfüllner, Mirko Schäfer
AI-generated Key Points
- Emission factors (EFs) provide a signal about the carbon intensity of electricity generation in the power system, which is crucial for tracking progress towards decarbonization goals.
- The authors present a bottom-up method that allows deriving per country and per technology EFs based on plant-specific power generation time series and reported emissions from the European emissions trading mechanism.
- The bottom-up method provides more accurate results by accounting for country-wise differences in per technology EFs compared to a top-down approach using statistical data on emissions and power generation on national scales.
- Other methods used to model EFs and resulting carbon intensities include process-based life cycle assessment (LCA) methods and balancing methods that use total emissions and total generated electricity.
- Transparent data sources and publicly available data are important to ensure replicability, adjustability, and expandability of analysis.
- Complementary approaches such as real-time signals provided by companies like Tomorrow through their “electricityMap” platform can also be useful.
- The bottom-up method presented in this study represents a valuable system-wide approach to calculating EFs for electricity generation from various technologies and countries without changing system boundaries or methods between technologies and countries.
Abstract: Dynamic grid emission factors provide a temporally resolved signal about the carbon intensity of electricity generation in the power system. Since actual carbon dioxide emission measurements are usually lacking, such a signal must be derived from system-specific emission factors combined with power generation time series. We present a bottom-up method that allows deriving per country and per technology emission factors for European countries based on plant specific power generation time series and reported emissions from the European emissions trading mechanism. We have matched, 595 fossil generation units and their respective annual emissions. In 2018, these power plants supplied 717 TWh of electricity to the grid, representing approximately 50 % of power generation from fossil fuels. Based on this dataset, 42 individual technology and country-specific emission factors are derived. The resulting values for historical per country carbon intensity of electricity generation are compared with corresponding results from a top-down approach, which uses statistical data on emissions and power generation on national scales. All calculations are based on publicly available data, such that the analysis is transparent and the method can be replicated, adjusted and expanded in a flexible way.
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