Change is Hard: A Closer Look at Subpopulation Shift

Authors: Yuzhe Yang, Haoran Zhang, Dina Katabi, Marzyeh Ghassemi

Code and data are available at https://github.com/YyzHarry/SubpopBench

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In their research titled "Change is Hard: A Closer Look at Subpopulation Shift," authors Yuzhe Yang, Haoran Zhang, Dina Katabi, and Marzyeh Ghassemi address the issue of machine learning models performing poorly on underrepresented subgroups in training data. They aim to understand the mechanisms that cause subpopulation shifts and how algorithms can generalize across diverse shifts at scale. To achieve this, the authors propose a unified framework that dissects and explains common shifts in subgroups. They then establish a comprehensive benchmark by evaluating 20 state-of-the-art algorithms on 12 real-world datasets from various domains such as vision, language, and healthcare. Through training over 10,000 models and analyzing the results, the researchers make intriguing observations for future progress in this field. They find that existing algorithms only improve subgroup robustness over certain types of shifts but not others. Additionally, while current algorithms rely on group-annotated validation data for model selection, the authors discover that a simple selection criterion based on worst-class accuracy is surprisingly effective even without any group information. Furthermore, unlike previous works solely focused on improving worst-group accuracy (WGA), this study demonstrates a fundamental tradeoff between WGA and other important metrics. This highlights the need to carefully choose testing metrics when evaluating algorithm performance. The researchers provide code and data related to their work at https://github.com/YyzHarry/SubpopBench. By expanding our understanding of subpopulation shift mechanisms and algorithm generalization across diverse shifts, this research contributes valuable insights for future advancements in machine learning models' performance on underrepresented subgroups.
AI-generated keywords: Subpopulation Shift Machine Learning Algorithm Generalization Worst-Class Accuracy Tradeoff

AI-generated Key Points

  • Machine learning models perform poorly on underrepresented subgroups in training data
  • Authors propose a unified framework to understand and explain common shifts in subgroups
  • Evaluation of 20 state-of-the-art algorithms on 12 real-world datasets from various domains
  • Existing algorithms only improve subgroup robustness over certain types of shifts
  • Simple selection criterion based on worst-class accuracy is surprisingly effective for model selection without group information
  • Tradeoff between worst-group accuracy (WGA) and other important metrics
  • Need to carefully choose testing metrics when evaluating algorithm performance
  • Code and data related to the research available at https://github.com/YyzHarry/SubpopBench
Also access our AI generated: Comprehensive summary, Lay summary, Blog-like article; or ask questions about this paper to our AI assistant.

Abstract: Machine learning models often perform poorly on subgroups that are underrepresented in the training data. Yet, little is understood on the variation in mechanisms that cause subpopulation shifts, and how algorithms generalize across such diverse shifts at scale. In this work, we provide a fine-grained analysis of subpopulation shift. We first propose a unified framework that dissects and explains common shifts in subgroups. We then establish a comprehensive benchmark of 20 state-of-the-art algorithms evaluated on 12 real-world datasets in vision, language, and healthcare domains. With results obtained from training over 10,000 models, we reveal intriguing observations for future progress in this space. First, existing algorithms only improve subgroup robustness over certain types of shifts but not others. Moreover, while current algorithms rely on group-annotated validation data for model selection, we find that a simple selection criterion based on worst-class accuracy is surprisingly effective even without any group information. Finally, unlike existing works that solely aim to improve worst-group accuracy (WGA), we demonstrate the fundamental tradeoff between WGA and other important metrics, highlighting the need to carefully choose testing metrics. Code and data are available at: https://github.com/YyzHarry/SubpopBench.

Submitted to arXiv on 23 Feb. 2023

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