Résultats de recherche pour « Probabilistic Models »

In this chapter, we explore how (Type-2) computable distributions can be used to give both (algorithmic) sampling and distributional semantics to probabilistic programs with continuous distributions. Towards this end, we sketch an encoding of computable distributions in a fragment of Haskell and show how topological domains can be used to model the resulting PCF-like language. We also examine the implications that a (Type-2) computable semantics has for implementing conditioning. We hope to draw out the connection between an approach based on (Type-2) computability and ordinary programming throughout the chapter as well as highlight the relation with constructive mathematics (via realizability).

Probabilistic cellular automata (PCA) are used to model a variety of discrete spatially extended systems undergoing parallel-updating. We propose an embedding of a number of classical nonequilibrium concepts in the PCA-world. We start from time-symmetric PCA, satisfying detailed balance, and we give their Kubo formula for linear response. Close-to-detailed balance we investigate the form of the McLennan distribution and the minimum entropy production principle. More generally, when time-symmetry is broken in the stationary process, there is a fluctuation symmetry for a corresponding entropy flux. For linear response around nonequilibria we also give the appropriate formula which is now not only entropic in nature.

This paper presents two different efficiency-enhancement techniques for probabilistic model building genetic algorithms. The first technique proposes the use of a mutation operator which performs local search in the sub-solution neighborhood identified through the probabilistic model. The second technique proposes building and using an internal probabilistic model of the fitness along with the probabilistic model of variable interactions. The fitness values of some offspring are estimated using the probabilistic model, thereby avoiding computationally expensive function evaluations. The scalability of the aforementioned techniques are analyzed using facetwise models for convergence time and population sizing. The speed-up obtained by each of the methods is predicted and verified with empirical results. The results show that for additively separable problems the competent mutation operator requires O(k 0.5 logm)--where k is the building-block size, and m is the number of building blocks--less function evaluations than its selectorecombinative counterpart. The results also show that the use of an internal probabilistic fitness model reduces the required number of function evaluations to as low as 1-10% and yields a speed-up of 2--50.

We present recent results on Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes (PDMPs), involved in biological modeling. PDMPs, first introduced in the probabilistic literature by Davis (1984), are a very general class of Markov processes and are being increasingly popular in biological applications. They also give new interesting challenges from the theoretical point of view. We give here different examples on the long time behavior of switching Markov models applied to population dynamics, on uniform sampling in general branching models applied to structured population dynamic, on time scale separation in integrate-and-fire models used in neuroscience, and, finally, on moment calculus in stochastic models of gene expression.

This paper presents a probabilistic perspective on large language models (LLMs), developed with the aim of bringing together, in a single self-contained account, tools that are usually treated separately across the literature. LLMs are described through probability measures on the set of sequences of tokens, specified via their autoregressive conditional distributions. Training is formulated as a maximum-likelihood estimation problem, addressed by stochastic gradient methods, while text generation is viewed as the sequential simulation of the resulting stochastic process. The role of the asymmetry of the Kullback--Leibler divergence in text generation is examined in relation with characteristic phenomena such as hallucination and the distinction between statistical plausibility and truth. As a complementary illustration of the same viewpoint, we also discuss diffusion models, built around the score function, which cast generation not as sequential token prediction but as the simulation of a reverse-time stochastic process transforming noise into data both in discrete and continuous time.